Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 868.782857 990.434643 1129.176685 1300.462374 1508.101060 1754.077503 2.071173e+03
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 705.429393 863.187411 1061.531632 1334.571678 1709.510307 2220.280334 2.994885e+03
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 599.257299 764.581881 985.033969 1310.058059 1794.713625 2522.614520 3.769011e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 538.703058 710.997558 952.128558 1328.923322 1932.927367 2924.921775 4.835682e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 496.387531 674.251628 933.744917 1360.575617 2091.364714 3397.644574 6.228164e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 454.824206 632.111840 899.575804 1358.505884 2189.312699 3788.941386 7.653836e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 414.087124 585.973610 852.284398 1325.126715 2221.555457 4060.592914 8.958880e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 389.468064 561.610150 835.890755 1341.019038 2348.208350 4567.565531 1.120116e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 358.036547 523.216152 791.712754 1299.450972 2350.260772 4794.868414 1.280402e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 332.695493 492.309453 756.700249 1269.486053 2369.857237 5071.877325 1.480988e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 309.987097 463.788990 722.841005 1236.777235 2376.492720 5319.348125 1.695353e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 301.745628 458.656188 729.394300 1284.606886 2577.708942 6183.985296 2.274537e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 288.453534 445.369720 722.705548 1310.850629 2751.957894 7117.197534 3.094682e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 276.742763 434.089057 719.063736 1344.706758 2962.143604 8326.870894 4.433773e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 259.573798 411.489399 691.199636 1319.996287 3007.540867 8983.855932 5.616154e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 248.942863 399.756414 683.100822 1339.048276 3184.680074 10305.254604 8.113815e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 240.564063 391.389927 680.664040 1371.023284 3413.161682 12071.338265 1.266442e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 229.689770 377.449371 665.367135 1368.932365 3534.393754 13457.454610 1.846275e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 216.971382 359.083058 639.136182 1335.213502 3540.581757 14254.813053 2.448737e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 209.563248 350.385717 632.472925 1351.267209 3728.846931 16365.334168 4.167912e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 198.055830 332.939438 605.485091 1309.278380 3692.367511 17012.131460 5.576584e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 188.354349 318.466836 583.831986 1279.012898 3693.872681 17972.648404 8.083225e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 179.164555 304.479365 562.176248 1245.978673 3676.625168 18814.634902 1.178733e+06